Theory of Wild Beasts

Finally, an alternative to the Efficient Market Hypothesis

 

 
 
Related Sites / News

 

Practical implementation of some of the insights arising out of the Theory of Wild Beasts can be found at www.phaseinvesting.com

denaris, magazine of the Association of Swiss Asset Managers, "Markets Evolve Through Behavioural Phases" (click here to review)

DM Euro FONDS & Märkte aktuell: Mit der Theorie der wilden Bestien investieren (click here to review)

 

 
     
 

Why the Beasts?

 
 

 

 
 

It's a metaphor for market behavior.

Initially the theory was called, the "Theory of Wild Beasts, Gentle Lambs, and Playful Trout", and now the"Theory of Wild Beasts" for short.

The idea for the name comes from guru speculator Victor Niederhoffer, who says in his book, The Education of a Speculator :

" . . . all I can say definitely is that prices sometimes move like wild beasts, sometimes like a gentle lamb, and sometimes like a playful trout."

He is right to point out that prices often exhibit different characteristic behaviours. There are times when prices behave like a pack of wild elephants stampeding through the jungle demolishing everything is sight. But they can as well be as playful as gentle lamb, or they can skip about like trout during mating season.

It is THIS kind of essence that this framework tries to capture.

 
 

 
     
     
 
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